District Run-Down (1 of 6) - South Australia

Once again I will not be available next week to write the blogpost, so I will be preparing it in advance. It may not be topical, but at least it will be available. I bring this up here because next week's post will be a continuation of a long post-athon summarising the seats of this election.

Today we start with my home state of South Australia, and run down through the other states in the order that they are likely to be most relevant to my readers. Second W.A., where I have a couple of at least semi-regular readers, then Victoria, where I may have another. After that we move to Queensland where I have a contact who might occasionally take an interest.

New South Wales comes next, purely as a result of being geographically larger and economically more influential than Tasmania. With that last state I will also cover the N.T. and A.C.T.:

June 15th: South Australia
June 22nd: Western Australia
June 29th: Victoria
July 6th: Queensland 
July 13th: New South Wales
July 20th: Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory

And so, to business:

South Australia:

The largest employment groups in South Australia are health care and support services, retail and manufacturing (source). The state government is bicameral and based on the Westminster system. The lower house (House of Assembly) contains 26 Labor members, 18 Liberal and 3 Independent. The upper house (Legislative Council) is held by 8 Labor councillors, 7 Liberals, 2 councillors each from Family First, Greens and No Pokies and 1 from Dignity 4 Disability.

The state contains 11 electoral districts, and as a state elects 6 Senators to the Federal Parliament.

How to Read These Summaries:

Incumbent: Incumbent lists the current member for the seat and their current party.

Incumbent/Party Run: Incumbent run provides the number of elections won by the current member, and the years of those elections in parentheses. By-elections are ignored.

A second line may be present and indicate the number of elections won by the current member's party, if this is different to the number won by the current member. Again the years of those elections in parentheses, and again by-elections are ignored.

2010 Margin (TPP): This is the margin by which the seat was won after the last redistribution of preferences in the 2010 federal election, and who this margin was against.

Electoral History: A list of previous incumbent parties from the foundation of the seat to the present.

Longest Electoral Run: The most elections won in a row in this seat by one party, with the years of those elections in parentheses and the party which won the seat in those elections.

State Divisions: The state seats within this federal seat. The seat names are coloured according to their current incumbent (red for ALP, Blue for Liberal, grey for Independents). The last state election was in 2010. Port Adelaide and Ramsay had simultaneous by-elections in 2012. Both remained ALP seats, were unchallenged by Liberal candidates and were won with a margin against an Independent.

Assessment: An assessment of the seats political history - that is, whether the seat is traditionally of one party or another. This is only approximated from the data here, does not constitute a prediction and may differ from the current incumbent's party.

Adelaide:

Incumbent: Kate Ellis (ALP)

Incumbent/Party Run: 3 Elections won (2004 - Present)

2010 Margin (TPP): 7.69% against LIB

Electoral History: 1903-1908: Protectionist Party

1908-1919: ALP

1919-1922: Nationalist Party

1922-1931: ALP

1931-1943: United Australia Party

1943-1966: ALP

1966-1969: LIB

1969-1988: ALP

1988-1990: LIB

1990-1993: ALP

1993-2004: LIB

2004-Present: ALP

Longest Electoral Run: 9 Elections won (1943 - 1966) - ALP

State Divisions: Adelaide, part of Ashford, part of Bragg, part of Croydon, part of Enfield, part of Norwood, part of Torrens, Unley and part of West Torrens.

Assessment: Volatile, leaning to ALP

Barker:

Incumbent: Patrick Secker (LIB)
Incumbent/Party Run: 5 Elections won (1998 - Present)

26 Elections won (1946 - Present)
2010 Margin (TPP): 12.88% against ALP

Electoral History: 1903-1906: Protectionist Party

1906-1909: Anti-Socialist Party

1909-1917: Commonwealth Liberal Party*

1917-1922: Nationalist Party

1922-1925: Liberal Union

1925-1931: Nationalist Party

1931-1934: United Australia Party

1934-1940: Country Party

1940-1944: United Australia Party

1944-Present: LIB

Longest Electoral Run: 26 Elections won (1946 - Present) - LIB

(Including predecessors of LIB, 42 Elections won (1903 - Present))

Component Divisions: Chaffey, part of Hammond, part of Kavel, part of Light, Mackillop, Mount Gambier, part of Schubert and part of Stuart

Assessment: Stable, very safe LIB

Boothby:

Incumbent: Andrew Southcott (LIB)

Incumbent/Party Run: 6 Elections won (1996 - Present)

25 Elections won (1949 - Present)
2010 Margin (TPP): 0.75% against ALP

Electoral History: 1903–1911: ALP
1911–1913: Commonwealth Liberal Party*
1913–1916: ALP
1916–1917: National Labor Party*
1917–1922: Nationalist Party
1922–1925: Liberal Union
1925–1928: Nationalist Party
1928–1931: ALP
1931–1943: United Australia Party
1943–1949: ALP
1949-present: LIB

Longest Electoral Run: 25 Elections won (1949 - Present) - LIB

Component Divisions: part of Bright, part of Davenport, part of Elder, part of Fisher, part of Mitchell, part of Morphett, part of Unley and Waite

Assessment: Stable, safe LIB (despite small margin)

Grey:

Incumbent: Rowan Ramsey (LIB)

Incumbent/Party Run: 2 Elections won (2007 - Present)

7 Elections won (1993 - Present)
2010 Margin (TPP): 11.16% against ALP

Electoral History: 1903–1916: ALP
1916–1917: National Labor Party*
1917–1922: Nationalist Party
1922–1931: ALP
1931–1937: United Australia Party
1937–1940: Country Party
1940–1943: United Australia Party
1943–1966: ALP
1966–1969: LIB
1969–1993: ALP
1993–present: LIB

Longest Electoral Run: 10 Elections won (1943 - 1966) - ALP

Component Divisions: Flinders, part of Frome, Giles, part of Goyder and part of Stuart

Assessment: Variable, safe LIB

Hindmarsh:

Incumbent: Steve Georganas (ALP)
Incumbent/Party Run: 3 Elections won (2004 - Present)

2010 Margin (TPP): 5.70% against LIB

Electoral History: 1903–1916: ALP
1916–1917: National Labor Party*
1917–1919: Nationalist Party
1919–1993: ALP
1993–2004: LIB
2004–present: ALP

Longest Electoral Run: 29 Elections won (1919 - 1993) - ALP

Component Divisions: Part of Ashford, part of Colton, part of Croydon, part of Elder, part of Lee, part of Morphett and part of West Torrens

Assessment: Variable, safe ALP

Kingston:

Incumbent: Amanda Rishworth ALP

Incumbent/Party Run: 2 Elections won (2007 - Present)

2010 Margin (TPP):

Electoral History: 1949–1951: LIB
1951–1966: ALP
1966–1969: LIB
1969–1975: ALP
1975–1983: LIB
1983–1996: ALP
1996–1998: LIB
1998–2004: ALP
2004–2007: LIB
2007–present: ALP

Longest Electoral Run: 6 Elections won (1951 - 1966)

Component Divisions: Part of Bright, part of Finniss, part of Fisher, Kaurna, part of Mitchell, Mawson and Reynell

Assessment: Volatile, tossup

Makin:

Incumbent: Tony Zappia (ALP)

Incumbent/Party Run: 2 Elections won (2007-Present)
2010 Margin (TPP): 12.20% against LIB

Electoral History: 1984-1996: ALP

1996-2007: LIB

2007-Present: ALP

Longest Electoral Run: 4 Elections won (1984-1996) - ALP, (1996-2007) - LIB

Component Divisions: Part of Florey, part of Little Parra, part of Newland, Playford and Wright

Assessment: Volatile, safe ALP

Mayo:

Incumbent: Jamie Briggs (LIB)

Incumbent/Party Run: 1 Election won (2008-Present)

10 Elections won (1984-Present)
2010 Margin (TPP): 17.35% against ALP

Electoral History: 1984-Present: LIB

Longest Electoral Run: 10 Elections won (1984-Present) - LIB

Component Divisions: Part of Bragg, part of Davenport, part of Finniss, part of Fisher, part of Hammond, part of Heysen, part of Kavel, part of Morialta, part of Newland and part of Schubert

Assessment: Stable, very safe LIB

Port Adelaide:

Incumbent: Mark Butler (ALP)

Incumbent/Party Run: 2 Elections won (2007-Present)

25 Elections won (1949-Present)
2010 Margin (TPP): 20.03% against LIB

Electoral History: 1949-Present: ALP

Longest Electoral Run: 25 Elections won (1949-Present) - ALP

Component Divisions: Cheltanham, part of Colton, part of Croydon, part of Enfield, part of Lee, Port Adelaide, part of Ramsay and part of Taylor

Assessment: Stable, very safe ALP

Sturt:

Incumbent: Christopher Pyne (LIB)

Incumbent/Party Run:  7 Elections won (1993-Present)

16 Elections won (1972-Present)

2010 Margin (TPP): 3.43% against ALP

Electoral History: 1949–1954: LIB
1954–1955: ALP
1955–1969: LIB
1969–1972: ALP
1972–present: LIB

Longest Electoral Run: 16 Elections won (1972-Present) - LIB

Component Divisions: Part of Bragg, part of Florey, Hartley, part of Morialta, part of Newland, part of Norwood, part of Torrens and part of Unley.

Assessment: Stable, safe LIB

Wakefield:

Incumbent: Nick Champion (ALP)

Incumbent/Party Run: 2 Elections won (2007-Present)
2010 Margin (TPP): 11.95% against LIB

Electoral History: 1903–1909: IND
1909–1917: Commonwealth Liberal Party*
1917–1922: Nationalist Party
1922–1925: Liberal Union
1925–1928: Nationalist Party
1928–1929: Country Party
1929–1931: Nationalist Party
1931–1938: United Australia Party
1938–1940: ALP
1940–1943: United Australia Party
1943–1946: ALP
1946-2007: LIB
2007–present: ALP

Longest Electoral Run: 23 Elections won (1946-2007) - LIB

Component Divisions: Part of Frome, part of Goyder, part of Light, part of Little Parra, Napier, part of Ramsay, part of Schubert, part of Stuart and part of Taylor.

Assessment: Variable, leaning to ALP

*Although listed in blue as a predecessor of the modern Liberal party, it is important to note that these parties are break-away groups and originally part of the Labor Party. Thus they cannot be viewed as entirely aligned with the modern Labor or Liberal positions. The same non-equivalence is true -- though to a lesser extent -- with the other, now defunct, historical parties.