The results themselves come to 21/25 or 84% which is pretty standard--perhaps a little low. But there was almost no polling data, so I feel excused.
The wrong calls weren't particularly enlightening either. Despite the confusion caused by having two possible opposition parties in the mix (Country Liberals and Territory Alliance), at no point did I give a seat to one and have the other take it. (Though, in Nelson I chickened out and didn't distinguish between them. That said, I did call Blain and Fong Lim for TA and not only did the ALP win both, but the TA didn't even come second.
My personal interest was whether TA could survive as a party and even take the role of opposition. My predictions considered this unlikely and this was born out.
Here's what I got wrong:
Barkly - rated safe by normal measures (8% margin) and Labor since 94, this was the only real surprise. That said, it's important to note that the CLP holds the seat with a 0.1% margin.
Blain & Fong Lim - I gave the TA too much credit. They weren't even able to retain these two incumbents in an election that should have seen the ALP on the defensive.
Port Darwin - Noted as a close race but expected a bigger swing against Labor based mostly on a CLP history of success in the seat. This seat will fall but not this year.
| Seat | Incumbent | Prediction | Result |
| Arafura | ALP | ALP | ALP |
| Araluen | TA | TA | TA |
| Arnhem | ALP | ALP | ALP |
| Barkly | ALP | ALP | CLP |
| Blain | TA | TA | ALP |
| Braitling | ALP | CLP | CLP |
| Brennan | ALP | CLP | CLP |
| Casuarina | ALP | ALP | ALP |
| Daly | CLP | CLP | CLP |
| Drysdale | ALP | ALP | ALP |
| Fannie Bay | ALP | ALP | ALP |
| Fong Lim | TA | TA | ALP |
| Goyder | IND | IND | IND |
| Gwoja | IND | ALP | ALP |
| Johnston | ALP | ALP | ALP |
| Karama | ALP | ALP | ALP |
| Katherine | ALP | CLP | CLP |
| Mulka | IND | IND | IND |
| Namatjira | ALP | CLP | CLP |
| Nelson | IND | Opp | CLP |
| Nightcliff | ALP | ALP | ALP |
| Port Darwin | ALP | CLP | ALP |
| Sanderson | ALP | ALP | ALP |
| Spillett | CLP | CLP | CLP |
| Wanguri | ALP | ALP | ALP |
